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AGIRecord · suleyman-2023

Mustafa Suleyman

Co-founder, DeepMind and Inflection AI

Why they matterCo-founder of DeepMind and Inflection AI; CEO of Microsoft AI

Status
Open
Prediction made
2023
Predicted arrival
2028
Interval
5 yrs

The Modern Turing Test: an AI that can be given a $100,000 investment and turn it into $1 million within a few months, largely on its own. I think that's coming in the next five years.

Context

Suleyman proposed the test as a concrete near-term capability benchmark. Logged as open; target year 2028.

This prediction is open: its target date has not yet passed. It is logged here because it has entered public discussion as a specific, dated forecast.

Source

The Coming Wave Crown