A catalogue of forecasts, made in earnest, that the calendar has since refuted.

For seventy years, prominent researchers, executives, and public intellectuals have offered specific dates for the arrival of artificial general intelligence, superintelligence, the technological singularity, and the collapse of large parts of the labour market. This archive collects those forecasts: both those the calendar has already refuted, and those still open but on the record.

The purpose is neither ridicule nor vindication. Public forecasts shape research funding, policy, and public expectation, and have a non-negligible impact on individual and societal welfare. It’s important to view present predictions within this context.

Records

37

Earliest

1958

Most recent

2026