AGIRecord · simon-newell-1958
Herbert A. Simon and Allen Newell
Researchers, Carnegie Institute of Technology and RAND
Why they matterBoth Turing Award laureates; pioneers of symbolic AI and cognitive simulation
- Status
- Closed
- Prediction made
- 1958
- Predicted arrival
- 1968
- Interval
- 10 yrs
“Within ten years a digital computer will be the world's chess champion, unless the rules bar it from competition.”
Context
One of a set of four famous ten-year predictions in the paper.
Why it is considered incorrect
In 1968 the strongest chess programs were rated well below master level; a computer did not take the world title until Deep Blue in 1997.
Source
Heuristic Problem Solving: The Next Advance in Operations Research — Operations Research, Vol. 6