AGIRecord · roose-2025
Kevin Roose
Technology columnist, The New York Times
Why they matterInfluential NYT tech columnist and co-host of the Hard Fork podcast
- Status
- Open
- Prediction made
- 2025
- Predicted arrival
- 2026
- Interval
- 1 yrs
“I believe that very soon — probably in 2026 or 2027, but possibly as soon as this year — one or more A.I. companies will claim they've created an artificial general intelligence. But even if A.G.I. arrives a decade later than I expect — in 2036, rather than 2026 — I believe we should start preparing for it now.”
Context
In his 'Why I'm Feeling the A.G.I.' column, Roose argued AGI is imminent and dismissed skeptics as offering a false sense of security. Logged as open pending 2026.
This prediction is open: its target date has not yet passed. It is logged here because it has entered public discussion as a specific, dated forecast.
Source
Powerful A.I. Is Coming. We're Not Ready. — The New York Times