Jobs & SocietyRecord · ng-2016
Andrew Ng
Chief Scientist, Baidu; co-founder Google Brain
Why they matterCo-founder of Google Brain and Coursera; former Baidu Chief Scientist
- Status
- Closed
- Prediction made
- 2016
- Predicted arrival
- 2021
- Interval
- 5 yrs
“If a typical person can do a mental task with less than one second of thought, we can probably automate it using AI either now or in the near future.”
Context
Widely repeated as a near-term automation heuristic.
Why it is considered incorrect
Five years on, automating one-second mental tasks in production remained narrow and brittle across most real-world domains.
Source
What Artificial Intelligence Can and Can't Do Right Now — Harvard Business Review