SuperintelligenceRecord · musk-2024-smarter
Elon Musk
CEO, Tesla, SpaceX and xAI
Why they matterCEO of Tesla, SpaceX and xAI
- Status
- Closed
- Prediction made
- 2024
- Predicted arrival
- 2025
- Interval
- 1 yrs
“AI will probably be smarter than any single human next year. By 2029, AI is probably smarter than all humans combined.”
Context
Posted on X on March 13, 2024 while sharing a Joe Rogan Experience clip featuring Ray Kurzweil.
Why it is considered incorrect
The 'next year' target (2025) has passed without AI systems demonstrating general intelligence surpassing any single human across the full range of cognitive tasks.