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AGIRecord · musk-2020-agi

Elon Musk

CEO, Tesla and SpaceX

Why they matterCEO of Tesla, SpaceX and xAI

Status
Closed
Prediction made
2020
Predicted arrival
2025
Interval
5 yrs

We are headed toward a situation where AI is vastly smarter than humans. I think that time frame is less than five years from now.

Context

One of several near-term AGI framings Musk has offered over the years.

Why it is considered incorrect

By 2025 frontier systems exceeded humans on many narrow benchmarks but did not meet common definitions of general intelligence surpassing any single human across arbitrary tasks.

Source