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AGIRecord · musk-2015

Elon Musk

CEO, Tesla and SpaceX

Why they matterCEO of Tesla, SpaceX and xAI

Status
Closed
Prediction made
2015
Predicted arrival
2020
Interval
5 yrs

Tesla will have full self-driving cars, at a reliability level that we would consider no hands on the wheel, in a five-year time frame.

Context

A specific applied-AI claim about general driving competence.

Why it is considered incorrect

Five years later Tesla's driver-assistance systems still required constant active human supervision and were not certified for hands-off operation.