AGIRecord · minsky-1970
Marvin Minsky
Co-founder, MIT AI Laboratory
Why they matterTuring Award laureate; co-founder of the MIT AI Lab
- Status
- Closed
- Prediction made
- 1970
- Predicted arrival
- 1978
- Interval
- 8 yrs
“In from three to eight years we will have a machine with the general intelligence of an average human being.”
Context
The prediction relied on rapid extensions of symbolic AI which stalled during the 1970s.
Why it is considered incorrect
No general-intelligence system existed by 1978; the underlying symbolic programme did not scale as expected.
Source
Interview — Life Magazine