AGIRecord · minsky-1967
Marvin Minsky
Professor, MIT
Why they matterTuring Award laureate; co-founder of the MIT AI Lab
- Status
- Closed
- Prediction made
- 1967
- Predicted arrival
- 1997
- Interval
- 30 yrs
“Within a generation the problem of creating 'artificial intelligence' will be substantially solved.”
Context
A generation is commonly read as thirty years; the claim was widely quoted in later AI-history surveys.
Why it is considered incorrect
By 1997 AI remained a collection of narrow techniques; the general-intelligence problem was not substantially solved and is not solved today.
Source
Computation: Finite and Infinite Machines — Prentice-Hall