AGIRecord · kurzweil-2005-turing
Ray Kurzweil
Director of Engineering, Google
Why they matterInfluential futurist and inventor; author of *The Singularity Is Near*
- Status
- Closed
- Prediction made
- 2005
- Predicted arrival
- 2020
- Interval
- 15 yrs
“By 2020 a $1,000 personal computer will have the processing power of the human brain… and by 2029, a computer will pass the Turing Test.”
Context
The 2020 hardware-parity milestone was widely contested.
Why it is considered incorrect
The practical claim — a $1,000 machine running a human-equivalent mind — did not occur by 2020 on any operational benchmark.
Source
The Singularity Is Near — Viking