Jobs & SocietyRecord · khosla-2012
Vinod Khosla
Founder, Khosla Ventures
Why they matterCo-founder of Sun Microsystems; prominent Silicon Valley venture capitalist
- Status
- Closed
- Prediction made
- 2012
- Predicted arrival
- 2022
- Interval
- 10 yrs
“Eighty percent of what doctors do will be replaced by technology — machine learning, algorithms, and machines — within the next decade.”
Context
Widely cited as an early strong claim about medical automation.
Why it is considered incorrect
A decade later physician employment had grown, not fallen by 80 percent; machine-learning tools were adopted as narrow assistive aids rather than as replacements for physician work.
Source
Do We Need Doctors or Algorithms? — TechCrunch