AGIRecord · kaku-2011
Michio Kaku
Professor of Theoretical Physics, City College of New York
Why they matterTheoretical physicist and best-selling popular-science author
- Status
- Closed
- Prediction made
- 2011
- Predicted arrival
- 2020
- Interval
- 9 yrs
“By 2020, we will have robots as intelligent as a mouse. By 2030, as intelligent as a dog.”
Context
Kaku's forecasts assumed continued embodied-AI progress.
Why it is considered incorrect
Mouse-level embodied cognition — sensorimotor generality, navigation, self-directed learning — was not achieved by 2020.
Source
Physics of the Future — Doubleday