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Jobs & SocietyRecord · kaifu-lee-2018

Kai-Fu Lee

Chairman and CEO, Sinovation Ventures

Why they matterFormer president of Google China; founding director of Microsoft Research Asia; venture capitalist and AI author

Status
Open
Prediction made
2018
Predicted arrival
2033
Interval
15 yrs

AI will be able to replace about 40 percent of the world's jobs within 15 years.

Context

Restated in his book *AI Superpowers*; among the most cited dated employment-impact forecasts. Logged as open; the window runs to 2033.

This prediction is open: its target date has not yet passed. It is logged here because it has entered public discussion as a specific, dated forecast.

Source