Jobs & SocietyRecord · hinton-2016
Geoffrey Hinton
Professor emeritus, University of Toronto; Turing Award laureate
Why they matterOne of the 'godfathers of deep learning' and a Turing Award laureate
- Status
- Closed
- Prediction made
- 2016
- Predicted arrival
- 2021
- Interval
- 5 yrs
“People should stop training radiologists now. It's just completely obvious that within five years deep learning is going to do better than radiologists.”
Context
A frequently cited example of a leading AI researcher making a specific, dated labour-market prediction.
Why it is considered incorrect
As of the mid-2020s the number of practising radiologists in the US has grown, not shrunk; the profession remains in shortage. AI is used as a workflow aid in radiology but has not replaced radiologists.
Source
Geoffrey Hinton on Radiology — Machine Learning and Market for Intelligence Conference, Toronto