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Jobs & SocietyRecord · harari-2024

Yuval Noah Harari

Historian and author, Hebrew University of Jerusalem

Why they matterBest-selling public intellectual widely cited on AI, politics, and long-run history

Status
Open
Prediction made
2024
Predicted arrival
2028
Interval
4 yrs

It is quite likely that in the next presidential election in the United States, in 2028, AIs will already play a bigger role than humans.

Context

A specific, dated claim about AI's dominance in a democratic election, from a widely read public intellectual. Kept open pending the 2028 US presidential election.

This prediction is open: its target date has not yet passed. It is logged here because it has entered public discussion as a specific, dated forecast.