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Jobs & SocietyRecord · amodei-2025-whitecollar

Dario Amodei

Co-founder and CEO, Anthropic

Why they matterCo-founder and CEO of Anthropic; former VP of Research at OpenAI

Status
Open
Prediction made
2025
Predicted arrival
2030
Interval
5 yrs

AI could wipe out half of all entry-level white-collar jobs — and spike unemployment to 10 to 20 percent in the next one to five years.

Context

The most widely-cited employment forecast from a frontier-lab CEO. Logged as open; the upper end of the window runs to 2030.

This prediction is open: its target date has not yet passed. It is logged here because it has entered public discussion as a specific, dated forecast.